NWS Forecast Discussion
000
FXUS66 KSGX 182019
AFDSGX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
200 PM PDT THU MAR 18 2010
.SYNOPSIS...A DEVELOPING MARINE LAYER WILL BRING AREAS OF COASTAL
LOW CLOUDS AND FOG FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH THE WEEKEND. OFFSHORE FLOW
WILL CAUSE LOCAL GUSTY WINDS THROUGH AND BELOW MOUNTAIN CANYONS AND
PASSES FRIDAY. A LITTLE WARMER THROUGH THE WEEKEND UNDER HIGH
PRESSURE. ANOTHER LOW WILL BRING MORE CLOUDS AND COOLING EARLY NEXT
WEEK.
&&
.DISCUSSION...FOR SOUTHWEST CALIFORNIA INCLUDING SAN DIEGO...
ORANGE...SOUTHWEST SAN BERNARDINO AND WEST RIVERSIDE COUNTIES.
THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY...RECENT AIRCRAFT SOUNDINGS SHOWED THE
MARINE LAYER HAS DEEPENED TO AROUND 1000 FEET. GRADIENTS CONTINUE TO
TREND ONSHORE. THE COASTAL EDDY HAS STRENGTHENED AND THE STRATUS HAS
MOVED OVER A FEW SPOTS ALONG THE SAN DIEGO COUNTY BEACHES.
ELSEWHERE...MOSTLY CLEAR BUT COOLER W OF THE MOUNTAINS UNDER A WEAK
UPPER LOW WITH STRONGER ONSHORE FLOW. THE EDDY WILL DEEPEN THE
MARINE LAYER THROUGH TONIGHT...ALLOWING THE STRATUS TO MOVE INLAND
BY FRIDAY MORNING. WEAK TO LOCALLY MODERATE OFFSHORE FLOW WILL
DEVELOP IN THE WAKE OF UPPER TROUGH ON FRIDAY. THE OFFSHORE FLOW
WILL CAUSE LOCAL GUSTY WINDS THROUGH AND BELOW MOUNTAIN CANYONS AND
PASSES WHICH COULD BRIEFLY REACH ADVISORY STRENGTH WITH GUSTS OVER
35 MPH FRIDAY. HOWEVER...THE OFFSHORE FLOW MAY NOT BE STRONG ENOUGH
TO CLEAR OUT THE STRATUS NEAR THE COAST FRIDAY MORNING...ESPECIALLY
IN SAN DIEGO COUNTY. WARMER IN SOME AREAS W OF THE MOUNTAINS
FRIDAY...EXCEPT NEAR THE IMMEDIATE COAST. COLD AIR ADVECTION WILL
BRING COOLING TO THE MOUNTAINS AND DESERTS FRIDAY. WARMER IN MOST
AREAS WITH A DECREASING MARINE LAYER SATURDAY AND SUNDAY UNDER HIGH
PRESSURE.
MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...A TROUGH APPROACHING FROM THE NW WILL
BRING MORE HIGH CLOUDS AND COOLING MONDAY. DEEPER MARINE LAYER
MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING. THE UPPER LOW WILL MOVE THROUGH
TUESDAY AND COULD PRODUCE LIGHT PRECIP. HOWEVER...CHANCES ARE LOW
ENOUGH TO KEEP PRECIP OUT OF THE FORECAST AS THERE IS NOT MUCH DEEP
LAYER MOISTURE. COOLER STILL ON TUESDAY. DECREASING CLOUDINESS AND
WARMER WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY AS THE TROUGH MOVES E AND HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS ALOFT.
&&
.AVIATION...
181900Z...MARINE LAYER DEEPENED TO AROUND 1100 FEET AFTER SUNRISE
THIS MORNING AND SHOULD DEEPEN TO AROUND 2000 FEET THIS EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT BEFORE LOWERING...AGAIN...ON FRIDAY TO AROUND 1000 FEET.
AREAS OF STRATUS ALONG THE COAST FROM KNZY SOUTHWARD WITH BASES
AROUND 1000 FEET MSL SHOULD SPREAD NORTH THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND
INLAND THIS EVENING. STRATUS SHOULD BREAK UP ON FRIDAY AFTER SUNRISE
AS OFFSHORE FLOW DEVELOPS OVER THE AREA.
ABOVE THE MARINE LAYER...A MOSTLY CLEAR SKY WITH UNRESTRICTED
VISIBILITIES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY. HORTON
&&
.SGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&
$$
PUBLIC...PG
AVIATION...HORTON
NWS SGX Office Area Forecast Discussion